Saturday, February 14, 2015

My Take on Oil Prices

I haven't discussed the price of oil in this blog, before now.
I think oil (like everything else) has a totally manipulated price. It's a commodity like metals and grains; therefore it's traded on the commodity markets. There are around 100 paper ounces for every physical ounce that's actually moved. Hence the market manipulators are setting it's price just like everything else.
I think they drove it down to punish Russia for their involvement in the Ukraine. This is done, primarily by manipulating the commodity market; but also by having the Saudis keep their production up.
This is backfiring on the U.S. It's risking collapsing the bond market and hence driving the stock market into freefall.
I expect the U.S. to reverse itself, soon. I think they will have ISIS invade Saudi Arabia. That will drive oil through the roof and save the stock market without having to blame the U.S.
I'm using stock options to bet that this will happen.
I was first alerted to a change in the price of oil by watching Jim Cramer on CNBC. He was talking about the predictions by an analyst who uses Fibonacci progressions. This is similar to technical analysis, but it uses Fibonacci numbers instead. That was something developed in Italy a long time ago.
It seems to be working but I think it is preceding the news of a war in the Middle East, again.
Anyway, I have a few options that will take advantage of that and on Tuesday I hope to buy some more. I could be right; in which case I'll have plenty of money for my move to California.
If I'm wrong, I may have to stay in Iowa until I can more easily afford the move.
I'm thinking about working at Luther or NICC as a work-study student, this Summer. In the Summer a person can work as a work-study student for  30 hours a week. That means I could make around $2000 in the Summer. If I stayed on another semester,I might get some more work-study time in.
That would go a long way towards financing my trip to California.
If I could sell my etchings I would have no trouble financing my move. Therefore, I'll start showing pictures of the etchings (done by Malcolm Childers) on my blog. The first one I'll show is Frenchy's Flathead Flyer.

Later

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Back to Normal

Well, I'm  back to trading options again. I just don't feel right without risking credit card money on options or Bitcoins.
The thing that I miss when I'm not gambling is the feeling of hope.
Of course, it is probably a delusion. After all, I've never really succeeded with any form of gambling.
All the markets are rigged and it's practically impossible to really make anything by trading.
I feel that I have to try, anyway.
Maybe one of my problems is that I tend to base my trading decisions on what I last saw on the Internet.
That's why I'm into silver options; Harvey Organ said that the world is running out of silver.
Last night I was watching Jim Cramer. He said that oil was due for a massive move up; so this morning I bought oil options.
I moved my money out of Rubles, yesterday, when I saw the minor crypto-coins move up. So I bought Litecoins. That hadn't moved yet.
So I'm all in. That's my usual condition. Basically, I'm using credit card money for my investing.
If I win I'll have plenty of money for my move to California; which is probably betting that I'll be able to find gold.
Everything I do is a gamble; but isn't that true of everyone?
Life is a gamble. If you don't take chances you condemn yourself to a life of boredom and complacency.
I don't think I could stand it. At least I have hope when I'm gambling.
Working for a living certainly didn't work. I feel that I'll have to get lucky and actually win a little money for a change.
At least, I'm trying.
Later

Thursday, February 5, 2015

jsnip4 and vaccines

This afternoon, I watched a Youtube video by someone called jsnip4. I like his vlogs.
Today he was talking about the brainwashing that the Mainstream-Media is doing to us about vaccines.
He pretty much focused on the measles vaccine. He pointed out that somewhere around 100 people have died as a result of getting the vaccine. This was for a disease that is not fatal.
It shows you that the press is in the pockets of the Pharma industry.
He also made some points about how Ebola. I disagree with him about Ebola. In fact, I have the feeling that the real news about Ebola is being suppressed to keep the stock market from collapsing.
It got me thinking about all the news I watch on Youtube. I feel that I'm being influenced by what I'm seeing on the Internet a bit too much.
Prepping is probably the biggest business going on in the United States. Sportsman's Guide and Harbor Freight are probably doing great business; selling to us people who are trying to prepare for the end of the financial world. We're also buying all sorts of gold and silver. Land is being sold for homesteads.
All this spending is caused by fear and panic being spread on Youtube.
I like think that I can discern the truth when I hear it but that is probably a delusion. I spent over $200 betting that the world would run out of silver. I could still win that bet but I only have 2 months to go on it.
I'm now thinking about getting a generator from Harbor Freight. It would only cost $100. But would I have a need for it if I didn't think that I'll be living off the land in the woods in the near future? I doubt it.
I've got over 200 ounces of silver. I bought that because I feel that the currency will soon be worthless.
I'm trying to get an old motor home working. Would I bother with that if I had any hope for the future? Hell no!
Anyway, I feel that I've been walking into yet another way that someone has to get me to spend money.
I still feel that the house of cards that is the American financial system is coming apart.
Some of my favorite Youtube channels that discuss this are:

  1. David Morgan
  2. The Corbett Report
  3. G4Tnews
  4. Max Keiser
  5. Greg Hunter
  6. Chris Martenson
I also watch some other channels that promote prepping and simple living. I'll talk about them some other time.
Later

Monday, February 2, 2015

Finally, some snow money

I finally made some money shoveling snow. We had a storm on Sunday and it drifted overnight.
I made almost as much as I would have made at the Peace Center for a week.
I just need to keep from spending it on silver and spend it towards getting my motor home working instead.
I also got my passport. I can now go to Canada or the Bahamas. I got the cheap passport since I doubt that I'll go anywhere except for Canada. The one that permits air travel costs over $100 more than the cheap one.
Nothing is getting done on the motor home but I think I'll use the van instead. That will be much cheaper and I can always come back for the motor home.
I figure on leaving for California by the end of March. The season at the mining claims really doesn't open until April anyhow.
I gave Mary at Java Johns a laptop, today. She gave me $50 for a Christmas gift so it was nice to give her something back. It has a missing key on the keyboard but it's the "insert" key so I doubt that she'll ever miss it.
Yesterday a young man named Ken helped me with shoveling a sidewalk by snow-blowing it. I was at the point of exhaustion. I was glad to pay him $15 to do it. I'll be talking about how someone came through for me for years to come.
I'm still wondering how long the financial world can keep it's act together. I was watching Gregory Mannerino on Youtube. He said that we are already collapsing financially. It's just that other places such as Europe and Latin America are where the collapse is starting. Apparently it won't be a massive collapse that closes down all the banks at once. It's shaping up as a long series of events that will cumulate in a major world-wide collapse.
Today it's Europe, next year the US.
All I can do is to try to get as ready for the inevitable collapse.
Later

Monday, January 26, 2015

Changing Plans

Dan isn't going with me to Happy Camp, Ca. I was hoping that he would drive the van whilst I drove the motor home.
He's got a new job so he won't be able to leave with me. I'll have to do it alone.
I'm now thinking about driving the van out, first. I'll live in it while I learn to prospect for gold.
Later, I'll come back on a plane and jump in the motor home and drive it out.
I bought more options on silver; I now have $250 invested.
Last week silver was going through the roof; this week, not so much. I think Harvey Organ was wrong about the world running out of silver. But the news out of Europe seems to be driving gold and silver to levels not seen for several months. There is still hope that I'll have a lot of money for my move by April. I would like to leave earlier but that doesn't seem to be happening.
Recently, I've been thinking about delaying the move since it would cost so much. My solution is to simply park the motor home and pile a tent and camping gear into the van and live out of it.
That will be a lot cheaper and I have to get the van out there anyway. If I find a lot of gold I will be able to afford an airline ticket back to here and then I can pick up the motor home.
I still need to find more income; especially since I tend to spend so much buying more silver. I've got to get focused on making the move happen. I simply don't have the money to invest in silver no matter how much of a good idea it is.
Well, I finally made some money (yesterday and today) shoveling snow. In those 2 days I made almost as much as I would have made at the Peace Center for a week.
I am expanding my snow shoveling. I've got 2 new customers.
I'll put off job hunting until next Spring. Maybe my options will come through and I'll have plenty of money for the move. Maybe I'll also sell some of my etchings.
Later

Monday, January 19, 2015

Internet connections are driving me "nuts".

I've wasted an entire weekend just trying to get good Internet connections.
They changed the password at the Peace Center, the Co-op didn't work and my connection to Magpie was bad. I even went to the Magpie Coffeehouse and had a cookie and coffee and there the connection was bad.
I might have to break down and actually pay for Internet. I might just rent an office at the Peace Center. Then I would have a little room to do things with.
This business of going to coffee shops for Internet access is just too damned expensive. And I have a lot of trouble with their Internet, as well.
I priced the Internet from the cable  company. The thing that discourages me from getting their service is that they have limits on how many gigabytes you can download. I'm afraid I'll always be going over. I could do things like downloading operating systems at coffee houses but that would get away from my idea of limiting my spending at coffee houses.
Watch David Morgan on Youtube, today. He came out for revolution. I agree with him; it's about time. We are getting as bad as the Soviet Union before they were overthrown. A lot hinges on the military. The important thing is how do we get them informed about what is really going on?
Maybe I'll defect when I go to Canada, this Spring. The right conversation with an informed Canadian could put me over the edge.
I think about how many Jews left Europe in the 30's. Over 2 million of them got out while the getting out was good. People forget that there are always those who accurately predict future events.
On another topic, my motor home is still in the shop. I gave the repair guy a list of things I wanted done. I am waiting to hear from him. The Beast, as I now call it, will be ready to roll by the end of March. I'm ready to get out of here and find some gold. Maybe I'll find enough to start a homestead. I don't know if I have enough energy left to really get a homestead off the ground. I also don't know if I'll be able to find any gold or if it will be worth anything if  do.
All I can do is to plug along and try to do the right thing. I hope that I will be divinely led in the next few years as well.
On yet a different topic, my etchings are being shown at Luther College. They really look nice. I got paid $250 for showing them. It comes at a good time. I was getting a little broke; I spent too much for computer parts and silver on Ebay.
Of course, if I had a lot of money I could spend as much as I like on computers and silver. It's just a matter of always being broke that is the problem.
I'll sign off on that note.
Later

Saturday, January 10, 2015

This Changes Everything

Something I saw on YouTube today changes my thinking on bugging out.
I've been thinking that I would prospect for gold for when we go back to the barter system.
It turns out that people may not be accepting gold and silver for 5 years after the breakdown.
That means that what I'll be accumulating won't have much value for about 5 years. I could just as well barter for gold and silver which I'll get very cheaply and accumulate it during the period that most people won't have much use for it.
I need to get into a position where I'll have a lot of what people really need during a currency collapse. I guess that means I need to be raising or harvesting food on a big scale. Homesteading would make more sense than prospecting. Maybe I can combine the two, somehow.
I really don't have much to barter with. Maybe I could get canned goods for installing Linux on laptops. A usable skill might go farther than gold or silver for the short term. Car maintenance, welding, or hair cutting might be more valuable than gold. Trading stocks and options will probably be a useless skill. I don't think there will be a place for people who don't have truly usable skills in the near future.
Maybe I'll get back to Jim and see about buying his acreage, near Harper's Ferry. It would be near the Mississippi and I could start a homestead there. It has electricity and access to a road. The price is a bit high but maybe Jim could write the mortgage. That means he'll sell it straight to me and act like the bank.
One of the disadvantages of buying land right now is that it might go down in value due to the depression. There are people who are predicting real estate to go to 30% of it's value, now. If I wait, I might be able to find a better place at a fraction of the price, now.
Maybe I'll find an acreage near the gold fields in California. I would rather live in a more hospitable climate anyhow. On other topics:

  1. My motor home is in the shop and things are getting fixed.
  2. I bought the options for silver and silver is going up. I haven't bet against gold, yet; I ran out of money.
  3. The news about Ebola is being suppressed. I'm going to bug out as soon as I see an obvious Ebola victim. 
That's all I have for now; I'm sorry I haven't been posting much lately.
Later