I'm still trying to figure out how bad the Ebola outbreak really is.
Most of the time I feel that 90% of the human race will die out in the next 2 or so years. That will happen if it proceeds at the exponential rate that it has been proceeding at.
An hour or so ago, I was watching a doctor on the Internet. He was talking about how hard it was to spread it. He was very compelling. Listening to him, made me think that there was nothing to worry about in the United States.
I have my doubts. I remember watching a very compelling doctor say that he wouldn't be afraid of sitting next to an Ebola victim on an airplane. Two weeks later the person who sat next to Patrick Sawyer (the Ebola victim who flew from Liberia to Nigeria) ended up dead.
I have my doubts about what people say about how tame this disease is.
There are two things going on now that are drawing my attention. The first is how much Ebola is spreading in Dallas, Texas. The guy spreading it there had upwards of 8 days to have spread it. Maybe he stayed at home and never did get out. If he got out and it's easier to spread than the authorities are telling us, there might be a lot more cases, there.
More important, however, might be the new, potential, case in Washington D.C.
The person who is being tested for Ebola came from Nigeria. If he has it, it means that the disease is being spread through Nigeria a lot more than we are being told. The Nigerian authorities are saying that it's been contained. If this person tests positive we have to wonder if it's spreading throughout Lagos. That is a city of between 21 and 22 million people. That implies that it's a lot more widespread than is now acknowledged.
Another thing I'm concerned about it the spread of another strain of Ebola in the Congo. Like I said, it's a different strain. It seems to be spreading faster than the first strain. I also have to wonder if a person can get both strains. What would that do to the mortality rate?
I haven't heard much about that, lately. Everyone is so focused on the outbreak in Dallas that nobody is paying attention to this new outbreak.
Later
P.S.
I was just talking with Gretchen at the Co-op about Ebola. I have her converted into a state of total paranoia. It made my day.
Later
Saturday, October 4, 2014
Thursday, October 2, 2014
It's Worse Than I Thought
If you are interested in what's happening with the Ebola outbreak go to Stefan Molyneux's YouTube channel and watch is vlog about Ebola in Texas. It's eye-opening.
After listening to Stefan I'm convinced that I've been downplaying the risk of Ebola in the United States. It's here and we don't know how bad it is, yet.
The best I can tell you is to go to Stefan's vlog and see what he has to say.
The stock market seemed to shrug off Ebola, today. I guess that the talking heads are talking the risk down. Yesterday the market moved down by 238 points; today there wasn't much of a move at all. It will be interesting to see how the market responds if there is more bad news about Ebola in America.
This might cause the crash that so many of us have been expecting.
I talk to Gary about buying silver on a leveraged basis. He talked me out of it. I always lose when I use margin. I never seem to learn.
Of course, since I'm not about to do it; it will turn out to be the smartest thing I could have done in the last decade. Oh, well.
It's supposed to snow, this weekend. I hope it snows enough to shovel it. I've got three places I shovel for, so I could make a lot of money this Saturday.
I doubt that it will accumulate enough to actually shovel. I'll have to get up early Saturday morning and check it out.
Well, go to Stefan's YouTube channel. He always has something to talk about and he was in rare form tonight.
On that I'll sign off.
Later
After listening to Stefan I'm convinced that I've been downplaying the risk of Ebola in the United States. It's here and we don't know how bad it is, yet.
The best I can tell you is to go to Stefan's vlog and see what he has to say.
The stock market seemed to shrug off Ebola, today. I guess that the talking heads are talking the risk down. Yesterday the market moved down by 238 points; today there wasn't much of a move at all. It will be interesting to see how the market responds if there is more bad news about Ebola in America.
This might cause the crash that so many of us have been expecting.
I talk to Gary about buying silver on a leveraged basis. He talked me out of it. I always lose when I use margin. I never seem to learn.
Of course, since I'm not about to do it; it will turn out to be the smartest thing I could have done in the last decade. Oh, well.
It's supposed to snow, this weekend. I hope it snows enough to shovel it. I've got three places I shovel for, so I could make a lot of money this Saturday.
I doubt that it will accumulate enough to actually shovel. I'll have to get up early Saturday morning and check it out.
Well, go to Stefan's YouTube channel. He always has something to talk about and he was in rare form tonight.
On that I'll sign off.
Later
Wednesday, October 1, 2014
Lots of Ebola News Today
The stock market went down over 230 points, today. I think it was mainly due to the Ebola news about the man in Dallas who was diagnosed with it.
The market is a lot smarter than the people who talk about it. I saw someone today say that there was a lot of bad news and he felt that the market reacted in a rather restrained manner.
I think the people with the inside information are getting out as best they can. Ebola may affect travel and dining out and a myriad of other things I haven't thought of, yet. If I had stocks I would be selling, now.
I'll be watching how fast it spreads in the Dallas area. I noticed that the person who came down with it was in contact with 5 children. If they get it and play with other children it could spread a lot faster than people think it will.
The common opinion is that it won't spread as much in the United States compared with Africa. I think it might spread faster, here. We have a lot more people traveling all over the place, here. It might get to all corners of the country if people get on planes with it.
Anyway, I'll be watching the stock market and I'll be watching for news of new cases.
I'm getting work done on my motor home. Dave (the guy working on it) had to go to Chicago for a few days. At least he got some things done before he left. I still need to find out if the furnace and the water heater work. Those are the main things.
I should be ready to bug out in a couple of weeks, maximum.
I might get back to this blog later, tonight.
Later
The market is a lot smarter than the people who talk about it. I saw someone today say that there was a lot of bad news and he felt that the market reacted in a rather restrained manner.
I think the people with the inside information are getting out as best they can. Ebola may affect travel and dining out and a myriad of other things I haven't thought of, yet. If I had stocks I would be selling, now.
I'll be watching how fast it spreads in the Dallas area. I noticed that the person who came down with it was in contact with 5 children. If they get it and play with other children it could spread a lot faster than people think it will.
The common opinion is that it won't spread as much in the United States compared with Africa. I think it might spread faster, here. We have a lot more people traveling all over the place, here. It might get to all corners of the country if people get on planes with it.
Anyway, I'll be watching the stock market and I'll be watching for news of new cases.
I'm getting work done on my motor home. Dave (the guy working on it) had to go to Chicago for a few days. At least he got some things done before he left. I still need to find out if the furnace and the water heater work. Those are the main things.
I should be ready to bug out in a couple of weeks, maximum.
I might get back to this blog later, tonight.
Later
Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Ebola in America, I've got to Comment
Well, the first case of Ebola that wasn't flown in on a special plane arrived in Dallas.
Actually it's happening a little sooner than I expected.
I suspect that people in Africa who feel a little woozy are spending their last dollar to get to the United States (where there is better health care).
If that is the case we'll see a lot of cases pretty soon. Every time someone gets sick and they have airfare and a passport they will run off to the good old U.S.A.
If I'm right the outbreak will get here a lot faster than I thought.
Tomorrow I'll see about getting some surgical masks and rubber gloves. I guess I'll need a spray bottle for chlorine as well. I won't start using this stuff yet but it's a good idea to have the basic supplies well ahead of the crowds.
I might have to bug out in the middle of Winter. I'll go to Arizona if I do. The "New 49ers" have mining claims in Arizona where I'll be able to isolate myself.
I think I'll be able to get my motor home ready to go within a month. I could actually drive it out right now, but I would like to get the lights in the living compartment working. I also don't know if the hot water heater and the furnace work.
The numbers of new Ebola cases seems to be leveling off a bit. At least they don't seem to be rising at the rate that I was used to. Maybe it's wishful thinking, on my part. The last that I heard the number of cases was about 6500 with slightly more than a 50% death rate.
Maybe the reality is that the numbers are distorted by not being able to get to the places where the sick people are. One of the problems is that the people doing the counting are dying as well.
I believe it was Sierra Leone that is quarantining 30% of it's population. I hope that works out well for them. I'm afraid that it will only cause deaths due to starvation. Those people simply don't have any good choices, any more. I don't know if any of us do have any good choices.
On a lighter topic, I'm thinking about buying silver on a leveraged basis. That means I'm thinking about gambling again. If that guy whose last name is Organ is right; silver should go through the roof this coming December. If it goes up 5 fold and I'm leveraged 4 to 1, a thousand dollars could become 20 thousand dollars. That would certainly finance my trip to Arizona or California. Of course, this is the same kind of thinking that has lead me down the road of poverty all of my life. I always lose.
Maybe this time I can get some one else to put up the money. Gary is my only hope.
I'll have to research it and make it happen. Maybe I could use my etchings for collateral.
Later
Actually it's happening a little sooner than I expected.
I suspect that people in Africa who feel a little woozy are spending their last dollar to get to the United States (where there is better health care).
If that is the case we'll see a lot of cases pretty soon. Every time someone gets sick and they have airfare and a passport they will run off to the good old U.S.A.
If I'm right the outbreak will get here a lot faster than I thought.
Tomorrow I'll see about getting some surgical masks and rubber gloves. I guess I'll need a spray bottle for chlorine as well. I won't start using this stuff yet but it's a good idea to have the basic supplies well ahead of the crowds.
I might have to bug out in the middle of Winter. I'll go to Arizona if I do. The "New 49ers" have mining claims in Arizona where I'll be able to isolate myself.
I think I'll be able to get my motor home ready to go within a month. I could actually drive it out right now, but I would like to get the lights in the living compartment working. I also don't know if the hot water heater and the furnace work.
The numbers of new Ebola cases seems to be leveling off a bit. At least they don't seem to be rising at the rate that I was used to. Maybe it's wishful thinking, on my part. The last that I heard the number of cases was about 6500 with slightly more than a 50% death rate.
Maybe the reality is that the numbers are distorted by not being able to get to the places where the sick people are. One of the problems is that the people doing the counting are dying as well.
I believe it was Sierra Leone that is quarantining 30% of it's population. I hope that works out well for them. I'm afraid that it will only cause deaths due to starvation. Those people simply don't have any good choices, any more. I don't know if any of us do have any good choices.
On a lighter topic, I'm thinking about buying silver on a leveraged basis. That means I'm thinking about gambling again. If that guy whose last name is Organ is right; silver should go through the roof this coming December. If it goes up 5 fold and I'm leveraged 4 to 1, a thousand dollars could become 20 thousand dollars. That would certainly finance my trip to Arizona or California. Of course, this is the same kind of thinking that has lead me down the road of poverty all of my life. I always lose.
Maybe this time I can get some one else to put up the money. Gary is my only hope.
I'll have to research it and make it happen. Maybe I could use my etchings for collateral.
Later
Saturday, September 27, 2014
A Slow Saturday Afternoon
There doesn't seem to be much news about Ebola today.
Nothing is happening with my motor home.
The currency hasn't collapsed yet.
I'm just drinking coffee at Java Johns, listening to Pandora (Government Mule Station) and polishing off a bagel.
I have no idea of what to talk about.
I noticed that I have a lot of viewers from Ukraine. Maybe I should comment about that situation. Maybe not; I don't know.
I lean towards the Russian side of the conflict. It looks to me like flight M17 (or whatever it was named) was shot down by the Ukraine government to blame it on the rebels. I just don't see any reason the Russians or the rebels would shoot it down.
I hope that peace breaks out and they have a referendum or something.
I suppose I just offended half of my readers from Ukraine. Oh well, that's just the way I see it, now. I could be wrong.
If Ebola keeps doubling the number of cases every 20 days, nothing else will matter much anyway.
I see that the CDC is saying that there could be 1.4 million cases by the end of January. If that happens it will really take off, from there.
A lot of people think that it won't affect the U.S.A very much but I think that is just "Normality Bias". Simply put that means that people think that things will remain the same simply because they always have.
I think that once it gets into our cities it will spread almost as fast as in the slums of Monrovia, Liberia. Time will tell.
A lot of people on YouTube are saying that the economy will collapse this Winter. Most are saying I will happen during the latter part of October or the first part of November. Some are saying it will happen in January.
If it doesn't happen I'll have to rethink watching those things. Maybe the system is so corrupt that it can go on forever. After all, we've had paper currency since 1971 and it still goes up in value. Maybe it can continue forever. Even if it does, I'm going after gold next year. I feel that gold will always have value.
Nothing is happening with my motor home.
The currency hasn't collapsed yet.
I'm just drinking coffee at Java Johns, listening to Pandora (Government Mule Station) and polishing off a bagel.
I have no idea of what to talk about.
I noticed that I have a lot of viewers from Ukraine. Maybe I should comment about that situation. Maybe not; I don't know.
I lean towards the Russian side of the conflict. It looks to me like flight M17 (or whatever it was named) was shot down by the Ukraine government to blame it on the rebels. I just don't see any reason the Russians or the rebels would shoot it down.
I hope that peace breaks out and they have a referendum or something.
I suppose I just offended half of my readers from Ukraine. Oh well, that's just the way I see it, now. I could be wrong.
If Ebola keeps doubling the number of cases every 20 days, nothing else will matter much anyway.
I see that the CDC is saying that there could be 1.4 million cases by the end of January. If that happens it will really take off, from there.
A lot of people think that it won't affect the U.S.A very much but I think that is just "Normality Bias". Simply put that means that people think that things will remain the same simply because they always have.
I think that once it gets into our cities it will spread almost as fast as in the slums of Monrovia, Liberia. Time will tell.
A lot of people on YouTube are saying that the economy will collapse this Winter. Most are saying I will happen during the latter part of October or the first part of November. Some are saying it will happen in January.
If it doesn't happen I'll have to rethink watching those things. Maybe the system is so corrupt that it can go on forever. After all, we've had paper currency since 1971 and it still goes up in value. Maybe it can continue forever. Even if it does, I'm going after gold next year. I feel that gold will always have value.
Tuesday, September 23, 2014
A Day Off and Not Much Happening
I just signed an Internet petition to the Secretary General of the U.N. It's about increasing aid for the Ebola outbreak. Here is a link to the petition: http://one.org/ebola?referring_akid=a26210217.6663229.GNZg9V&source=conf&utm_source=email&utm_medium=emailhttp://one.org/ebola?referring_akid=a26210217.6663229.GNZg9V&source=conf&utm_source=email&utm_medium=email
I'm not sure what to click on but something above should work. I think if you click on the top link it should work.
I'm going to class today to be a peer supporter. I don't know if I'll ever get a job at it but I'm getting paid to go and I'm out of the Peace Center for a while.
I'm getting closer to heading out to California. I'll be leaving next April.
More about Ebola. I think it will be a short-run sort of thing. After a few months it will go away. It might kill 90% of the population during that time but the survivors will be immune and it will go away, I hope.
It will destroy the economy, worldwide. Maybe I'm being alarmist but I have the feeling that it will happen that way.
Running to the mountains probably won't help anything since it will be so widespread. I think I'll do that anyway.
Well, I've got to run off to class in a few minutes.
Later
I'm not sure what to click on but something above should work. I think if you click on the top link it should work.
I'm going to class today to be a peer supporter. I don't know if I'll ever get a job at it but I'm getting paid to go and I'm out of the Peace Center for a while.
I'm getting closer to heading out to California. I'll be leaving next April.
More about Ebola. I think it will be a short-run sort of thing. After a few months it will go away. It might kill 90% of the population during that time but the survivors will be immune and it will go away, I hope.
It will destroy the economy, worldwide. Maybe I'm being alarmist but I have the feeling that it will happen that way.
Running to the mountains probably won't help anything since it will be so widespread. I think I'll do that anyway.
Well, I've got to run off to class in a few minutes.
Later
Saturday, September 20, 2014
500,000 Ebola cases by January?
Bloomberg came out with a ,worst-case, scenario of over 500,000 Ebola cases by January. I feel that their projections are more accurate than any thing else I've seen.
They are including the fact that the numbers that are in common usage are obviously low, since nobody is getting a good count. They are also figuring in a doubling of the numbers every 20 or so days.
Last week I was calculating about a 160,000 number by January. I was using the official numbers and figuring that it doubled every month.
I think Bloomberg's numbers are more accurate than mine. This moves things up a bunch.
I'll have to get my bug out vehicle running and get moved to the wilderness quicker than I was thinking.
I got my refrigerator last week. It's ready to install.
I want to get my fuel gauges fixed and get the transmission worked on.
I'll also need what is called a dolly to tow my van behind the motor home.
That will set me back about $400. Hopefully that will be my biggest expense.
I don't expect to leave before we get 50,000 cases of Ebola in the United States.
I don't know how long that will take. I figure that when the cases get over 50,000 that the American health care system will be overwhelmed.
I'm picking up this post after being away for a few hours.
It looks like the CDC is behind the new worst-case scenario. That was the way the Huffington Post reports it. It is based on unreleased numbers but I think it will be official, soon.
At least someone in the U.S. is taking this thing seriously.
Later
They are including the fact that the numbers that are in common usage are obviously low, since nobody is getting a good count. They are also figuring in a doubling of the numbers every 20 or so days.
Last week I was calculating about a 160,000 number by January. I was using the official numbers and figuring that it doubled every month.
I think Bloomberg's numbers are more accurate than mine. This moves things up a bunch.
I'll have to get my bug out vehicle running and get moved to the wilderness quicker than I was thinking.
I got my refrigerator last week. It's ready to install.
I want to get my fuel gauges fixed and get the transmission worked on.
I'll also need what is called a dolly to tow my van behind the motor home.
That will set me back about $400. Hopefully that will be my biggest expense.
I don't expect to leave before we get 50,000 cases of Ebola in the United States.
I don't know how long that will take. I figure that when the cases get over 50,000 that the American health care system will be overwhelmed.
I'm picking up this post after being away for a few hours.
It looks like the CDC is behind the new worst-case scenario. That was the way the Huffington Post reports it. It is based on unreleased numbers but I think it will be official, soon.
At least someone in the U.S. is taking this thing seriously.
Later
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